Between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, the result of the American presidential election remains uncertain. At any time, the “Swing States”, those states which vote differently from one election to another, can reshuffle the cards.
In every American presidential election, the United States is divided into two camps. On the one hand, there are states that traditionally vote Republican. They are named the “Red Sea”. On the other hand, there are states that have almost always voted Democratic. They are named the “Blue Wall”. In these states, the major voters are most of the time acquired in advance and there is therefore not necessarily a need to carry out an increased campaign there. However, some States are far from being established and in this case we must know how to seduce the populations residing there.
For this race for the White House, seven states sow trouble. In an electoral effort, the candidates held most of their meetings on these lands. The “Swing States” are therefore Undecided states that sometimes vote Democratic and sometimes Republicandepending on the elections. On their own, these “Swing States” represent 93 electors who can therefore overturn the election at any time. As a reminder, you need at least 270 electors to win the election. In these “Swing States”, the population is constantly changing, which can also explain the political change with each election. The November 5 duel between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump will therefore be played out in these key states.
The most and least important “Swing States”
Among these seven states, Pennsylvania is undoubtedly one of the most important in hoping to reach the White House. As a result, it is the state most coveted by both sides but also the most undecided. Pennsylvania is divided within these lands since the big cities vote for the vast majority, Kamala Harris while the rural populations vote Donald Trump. With his 19 electorsthis “Swing States” can prove crucial in victory.
The State of Nevada is for its part, the “Swing States” the “least important”. With “only” six electorsNevada has been Democratic land for many years. However, Donald Trump has not said his last word to try to win him back since the Republican candidate is banking on a strong Hispanic population which is not acquired by the Democrats. Due to the danger seen by Kamala Harris, the Democratic candidate will focus on young employees coming from California and having settled in Nevada for work.
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The African-American population: an asset for Kamala Harris
The second most important state in this election is the state of Georgia. This one counts 16 major voters who vote at Republican majority. But, once again, everything can change due to the large presence of a population African American. Kamala Harris can take advantage of this advantage because if elected, she would become the first black woman president of the United States. However, nothing is decided in advance. As a reminder, the state of Georgia also has an extremely religious and conservative population on topics related to abortion, for example. Donald Trump can turn the tables.
Conquered in 2020 by Joe Biden, the Michigan is no longer necessarily support for the Democrats. Since the start of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and America’s support for Israel, Arab populations have revolted and can vote for Donald Trump. The Republican candidate uses this advantage and counts on the cost of living due to inflation. It also brings together the middle classes with this subject.
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Amazing “Swing States”
Some states, such as that of Wisconsinare almost a foregone conclusion. This “Swing States” Democratic majority vote. Kamala Harris therefore has every interest in keeping this advantage. However, the state is considered a “Swing State” since it can swing to the Trump camp at any time during the election. The Democratic candidate does not have a considerable lead over her opponent. Other states, such as North Carolinacreated a surprise. Since Barack Obama, this state has not voted Democratic. Pollsters naturally predicted a victory for Donald Trump in these lands. However, Kamala Harris can reshuffle the cards. Indeed, the Democratic candidate wishes to focus on the populations African American who settled in the region. A way to win the electors of North Carolina.
To finish, theArizona can surprise these elections. Traditionally, this state has voted Republican for decades. Donald Trump therefore had every chance of winning. Moreover, this “Swing States” being a border state, the Republican candidate had focused on the subject of illegal immigration. However, Arizona made a surprising choice in 2022. The state, although anchored Republican, chose a Democratic woman as governor. Eliminating, facing a pro-Trump candidate. For these reasons, the results of these American presidential elections promise to be close. The two candidates also showed their desire to appeal to the “Swing States” during the campaign. The last meeting of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris took place in Pennsylvania on Monday. The most important “Swing States” since it has 19 electors.
